Tropical Depression likely this weekend as system moves north today, impacts for Gulf Coast Friday

DAMON: LOOKING PRETTY GOOD IN ETH SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SO FAR THIS MORNING. OVERALL, D AECENT DAY, BUT LET ME TAKE YOU TO THE TROPICS AND GIVE YOU ANOTHER LOOK AT2 9 ELLA, SPINNING IN THEAY B FOR A WEEK NOW. IT HASOME S MOVEMENT MOVING NORTH AT ABOUT 9 MILES AN HOUR, YOU CAN ESE THE WIND SHEAR DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHERN GFUL OF MEXICO WHICH ETH SYSTEM WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH AS IT MAKES ITS WAY NORTH AND ALL OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT AS TO THE EAST, BUT NOTICE ATWH IS HAPPENING TO THE WEST, THERES I SOME DEVELOPMENT TRYING TO TAKE PLACE HERE AS THIS THING THAT’S LIKE IT IS MOVING PRETTY SLOWLY AT ABOUT 9 MESIL AN HOUR. THE WATER TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ENOUGH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH THE SYSTEM AND TAKE A LOOK AT THIS, THE DRY AIR BEING INJECTED, IT SHOULD KEEP IT FROM BEING TOO MUCH OF A SYSTEM THAT WE SHOULD CONCERN OURSELVES WHIT , I.E. A HURRICANE. ONLY EXPECTING A TROPICAL STORM BECAUSE OF THERY D AIR, THE WIND SHEAR AND SOME MEASURE OF DUST THAT IT WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WE HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM AND STILL EXPECTING IT TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AS I PUTHE T GLOBAL FORECAST MODEL INTO MOTION, YOU NOTICE TOMORROW WARNING, THIS IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF US WITH THE WORST OF THE RAINFALL AS USUAL IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AS IT MOVES NORTHERLY TOWARDS US. THE WORST OF THE RAINFALL NOW INDICATING OVER PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI LFGU COAST, BOARDS OF SOUTHWEST -- SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. IT IS MAKING ITS WAY INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AS WE GO INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MOINRNG. THEN, MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI SATURDAY EVENGNI AND TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. IT LOOKS LIKE WE HAVE A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING US A HIGH TRANSFER RAINFALL ON MONDAY AS WELL. HERE’S A LOOK AT FRIDAY MORNING, IT LOOKS LIKE THE RAIN STARTS TO ROLL IN, THE EUROPEAN MODEL HAS THE WORST OF THE RAINFALL MOVING OVER OUR HEADS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST INTO YOUR SATURDAY MORNING AND THIS TNGHI TURNS ACROSS THE MISSISSPIIP GOING INTO SATURDAY EVENING AND OVER TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY GOING INTO SUNDAY WITH RAIN CH ANCES AND PRTYET HIGH INTO TUESDAY. RITGH NOW, A STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD KEEP ALL THE RAINFALL TO THE SOUTH OF US ALONG THE COAST LINE THROUGH THE DATA. RADAR PICTURE IS NICE AND CLEAR, WE ARE EXPECNGTI RAIN FRIDAY, SATURDAY, AND INTO SUNDAY. THE GFS SHOWING THE WORST OF ETH RAINFALL ON THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST, BUT AS THE EUROPEAN MODEL IS IN MOTION, THE GREATEST RAINFALL OVER OUR HEADS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST AS WELL. WHETHER IT IS A LOT OF RAINFALL OR NOT AS MUCH RAINFALL, EXPECT SHOWER SS,TORMS, STRONG WINDS AS WE GO THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DAMAGING WINDS, WLO TORNADOES, AND HEAVY RAIN IS A HIGH CHAN.CE GHRIT NOW, LOOKING BEAUTIFUL OUTS

Tropical Depression likely this weekend as system moves north today, impacts for Gulf Coast Friday

Updated: 9:02 AM CDT Jun 17, 2021

An area in the southern Gulf of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche remains disorganized Thursday morning as it is expected to move north in the afternoon hours. 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Gradual development remains possible over the next several days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico.The NHC says it should form into a tropical depression late Thursday or on Friday. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is going to be possible along the northern Gulf Coast over the Father's Day weekend.Some rain could start as early as Friday, and long-range models bring flooding potential to southeast Louisiana this weekend. There is still a lot of uncertainty with exact impacts, as the system lacks organization. We should know more in the coming days, so be sure to stay up-to-date on the very latest.

An area in the southern Gulf of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche remains disorganized Thursday morning as it is expected to move north in the afternoon hours.

Gradual development remains possible over the next several days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico.

The NHC says it should form into a tropical depression late Thursday or on Friday.

An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is going to be possible along the northern Gulf Coast over the Father's Day weekend.

Some rain could start as early as Friday, and long-range models bring flooding potential to southeast Louisiana this weekend.

There is still a lot of uncertainty with exact impacts, as the system lacks organization.

We should know more in the coming days, so be sure to stay up-to-date on the very latest.